Ethiopia vs Malawi – Match Predictions

Friendlies – Friendly International

None, World | 2026-06-06 15:00 (UTC)

Stadium: None

Ethiopia

W W L W L
VS

Malawi

L L W D L

Match Outcome Probabilities

Half Time

  • Ethiopia: 30.0%
  • Draw: 55.0%
  • Malawi: 15.0%

Full Time

  • Ethiopia: 50.0%
  • Draw: 30.0%
  • Malawi: 20.0%

Double Chance

1X
80.0%
X2
50.0%
12
70.0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Ethiopia — Half
0.7
Ethiopia — Full
1.4
Malawi — Half
0.3
Malawi — Full
0.7
Total goals

Half total: 0.9

Full total: 2.1

Under / Over Total Goals

1.5
0% / 0%
2.5
0% / 0%
3.5
0% / 0%
4.5
0% / 0%

Both Teams to Score & Exact Score Probabilities

Both Teams to Score

Prediction: yes

40.0%

Probability that both teams will score during the match.

Top exact score probabilities

0-0
0%
1-0
0%
0-1
0%
1-1
0%
2-0
0%
0-2
0%
3-1
0%
1-3
0%
2-1
0%
1-2
0%
2-2
0%
3-2
0%
2-3
0%
Other
0%

Corners

Expected corners

Ethiopia
4.5
Malawi
3.1
Total: 7.6

Under / Over Total Corners

8.5
0% / 0%
10.5
0% / 0%
12.5
0% / 0%
14.5
0% / 0%

Expected Match Stats

Possession

Ethiopia
Malawi

Match statistics

Ethiopia
Malawi
Shots
11.5 / 6.2 Total: 17.7
Passes
380.0 / 320.0 Total: 700.0
Accurate passes
310.0 / 260.0 Total: 0
Fouls
10.0 / 12.0 Total: 22.0
Offsides
1.8 / 1.2 Total: 3.0
Goalkeeper saves
2.5 / 3.8 Total: 6.3
Yellow cards
2.1 / 2.5 Total: 4.6
Red cards
0.05 / 0.02 Total: 0.07

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia are slight favourites given recent attacking form (wins vs Sao Tome 1-0 and 3-0) while Malawi’s struggles and low scoring reduce their chances, so a 1-0 or 1-1 is most likely; expect around 2.1 total goals and a moderate chance of both teams scoring.


Etiopía es ligera favorita por su forma ofensiva reciente (victorias 1-0 y 3-0 ante Santo Tomé) mientras que Malawi tiene problemas y anota poco, por lo que un 1-0 o 1-1 es lo más probable; se esperan alrededor de 2.1 goles totales y una probabilidad moderada de que ambos equipos marquen.