Greece vs Italy – Match Predictions

Friendlies – Friendly International

Heraklion, World | 2026-06-07 19:00 (UTC)

Stadium: Pankritio Stadium

Greece

D D L D W
VS

Italy

W L W L W

Match Outcome Probabilities

Half Time

  • Greece: 15.0%
  • Draw: 55.0%
  • Italy: 30.0%

Full Time

  • Greece: 15.0%
  • Draw: 25.0%
  • Italy: 60.0%

Double Chance

1X
40.0%
X2
85.0%
12
75.0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Greece — Half
0.5
Greece — Full
1.0
Italy — Half
0.7
Italy — Full
1.4
Total goals

Half total: 1.2

Full total: 2.4

Under / Over Total Goals

1.5
0% / 0%
2.5
0% / 0%
3.5
0% / 0%
4.5
0% / 0%

Both Teams to Score & Exact Score Probabilities

Both Teams to Score

Prediction: yes

57.0%

Probability that both teams will score during the match.

Top exact score probabilities

0-0
0%
1-0
0%
0-1
0%
1-1
0%
2-0
0%
0-2
0%
3-1
0%
1-3
0%
2-1
0%
1-2
0%
2-2
0%
3-2
0%
2-3
0%
Other
0%

Corners

Expected corners

Greece
3.8
Italy
5.6
Total: 9.4

Under / Over Total Corners

8.5
0% / 0%
10.5
0% / 0%
12.5
0% / 0%
14.5
0% / 0%

Expected Match Stats

Possession

Greece
Italy

Match statistics

Greece
Italy
Shots
9.0 / 13.0 Total: 22.0
Passes
350.0 / 610.0 Total: 960.0
Accurate passes
270.0 / 530.0 Total: 0
Fouls
10.0 / 11.0 Total: 21.0
Offsides
1.4 / 1.8 Total: 3.2
Goalkeeper saves
3.5 / 1.7 Total: 5.2
Yellow cards
1.5 / 1.6 Total: 3.1
Red cards
0.03 / 0.02 Total: 0.05

AI Match Summary

Italy are clear favorites (60%) thanks to a stronger recent scoring run — wins over Luxembourg and Moldova and a 2-0 vs Northern Ireland — but their 1-4 loss to Norway shows vulnerability; Greece's mixed form, including a 3-2 win over Scotland and several 0-0 draws, suggests a low/medium-scoring, competitive game.

Italia son claras favoritas (60%) gracias a una racha goleadora más sólida — victorias ante Luxemburgo y Moldavia y un 2-0 vs Irlanda del Norte — aunque la derrota 1-4 ante Noruega muestra vulnerabilidad; la forma mixta de Grecia, incluyendo un 3-2 a Escocia y varios 0-0, sugiere un partido competitivo con pocos o medios goles.